BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Des Moines Lincoln

Class: 4A Class Rank: 33 Conference: (7-15) Overall: (7-15) Overall Strength =   69.42

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 12/02/2003 Home    L *  65.16  59   61   4A   35 ( 7-16) Ankeny                 -4.26      2.26                      
  2 12/05/2003 Home    L *  59.84  56   63   4A   36 ( 7-15) Des Moines East        -9.58      2.58                      
  3 12/12/2003 Away    W *  84.68  62   55   4A   20 (15- 8) Des Moines Hoover      15.27     -8.27                      
  4 12/13/2003 Away    L *  73.48  47   48   4A   27 (15-10) Marshalltown            4.06     -5.06                      
  5 12/16/2003 Away    L *  71.81  57   66   4A   13 (17- 7) Southeast Polk          2.39    -11.39                      
  6 12/19/2003 Home    L *  67.75  43   53   4A   12 (19- 7) Ottumwa                -1.67     -8.33                      
  7 01/02/2004 Home    W *  66.11  75   60   4A   47 ( 0-22) Des Moines North       -3.31     18.31                      
  8 01/06/2004 Home    L *  63.39  44   57   4A   15 (15- 8) Ames                   -6.03     -6.97                      
  9 01/09/2004 Away    W *  97.77  52   37   4A    7 (16- 6) Des Moines Roosevelt   28.35    -13.35                      
 10 01/13/2004 Home    W *  79.49  67   60   4A   23 (11-11) Urbandale              10.07     -3.07                      
 11 01/16/2004 Away    L *  67.76  65   68   4A   36 ( 7-15) Des Moines East        -1.65     -1.35                      
 12 01/20/2004 Away    L *  69.89  44   56   4A    8 (17- 7) WDM Dowling             0.47    -12.47                      
 13 01/23/2004 Home    L *  47.76  41   67   4A   20 (15- 8) Des Moines Hoover     -21.66     -4.34                      
 14 01/27/2004 Home    W *  66.98  48   39   4A   45 ( 1-21) Fort Dodge             -2.43     11.43                      
 15 01/30/2004 Away    L *  71.67  44   54   4A   12 (19- 7) Ottumwa                 2.25    -12.25                      
 16 02/03/2004 Home    L *  64.91  58   72   4A    9 (18- 6) Johnston               -4.51     -9.49                      
 17 02/06/2004 Away    W *  77.03  59   37   4A   47 ( 0-22) Des Moines North        7.61     14.39                      
 18 02/10/2004 Away    L *  43.47  35   59   4A   38 ( 6-16) Newton                -25.95      1.95                      
 19 02/13/2004 Home    L *  74.84  32   36   4A    7 (16- 6) Des Moines Roosevelt    5.43     -9.43                      
 20 02/20/2004 Away    L *  63.31  40   58   4A   10 (15- 7) Indianola              -6.10    -11.90                      
 21 02/27/2004 Home    W *  77.18  64   51   4A   37 (10-13) Mason City              7.76      5.24                      
 22 03/02/2004 Away    L *  72.89  45   54   4A    8 (17- 7) WDM Dowling             3.47    -12.47                      
      Averages              69.42  51.7 55.0

Best game:   97.77 = 15 point win over Des Moines Roosevelt
Worst game:  43.47 = 24 point loss to Newton
Team stdev:  11.33